Situation in the logistics sector

The demands on logistics are changing at an ever-increasing pace. Globalization, shorter product life cycles, digitalization, automation and the growing use of artificial intelligence remain key drivers of this development. The sector continues to benefit from rising demand for logistics services, driven in particular by the growth of e-commerce and the increasing volume of returns in the B2C segment. At the same time, it faces challenges such as ongoing margin pressure, demographic change and intensifying competition for skilled workers, managers and entry-level talent. Labor shortages remain particularly pronounced among warehouse staff, truck drivers, train operators and IT specialists.

As part of outsourcing activities, logistics companies are expected to be very willing to invest and highly innovative. A key focus is on transshipment, distribution and order-picking centers in well-connected locations. Customer contracts are often concluded for short terms, and space and handling equipment are predominantly rented or leased.

The use of integrated information and communication technologies along process chains has continued to expand. Logistics service providers must increasingly adapt to ongoing automation and digitalization, which are having a growing impact on operations, business models and skill requirements.

The logistics sector remains one of the largest industries in Germany. In addition to its importance for industry and trade, it benefits from Germany’s central location in Europe and its role as a logistics hub. Risks arise in particular from geopolitical tensions, trade conflicts and protectionist tendencies that may affect global trade.

Business conditions in the logistics sector remained challenging at the end of 2025. According to the BVL Logistics Indicator, there was a slight upward trend in business sentiment, but overall conditions remained strained. Demand from industry and trade continued to be weak, particularly due to declining transport volumes and subdued industrial activity. Although the SCI Logistics Index was slightly above the previous year’s level at the end of 2025, it remained below zero, reflecting the persistently difficult market environment.

Developments over the course of the year were volatile and marked by uncertainty, including economic weakness, rising costs and structural challenges. At the end of 2025, a large proportion of the companies surveyed continued to assess the business situation critically.

Sources for this section:
BVL Logistics Indicator 4th Quarter 2025, including commentary
SCI Verkehr, SCI Logistics Barometer, December 2025

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